St John’s Antigua, October 3, 2025. The Statistics Division, under the Ministry of Finance and Corporate Governance releases the CPI for Jun 2025.
Year-on-Year Analysis
The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.2% for the twelve months ending June 2025 after declining 0.6% in May 2025. The All Items Less Food and Energy index remained unchanged over the last twelve months. The Food index declined 0.8% over the last twelve months ending June. The Energy index increased 5.4% over the last year.
The index for Food declined 0.8% after rising 0.5% in the previous month. The Food index had varied outcomes resulting from five decreases and four increases in the subcategories. The Food index was impacted by declines in the indexes for Vegetables (-4.2%), as several elementary indexes declined, including Lettuce (- 60.6%), Frozen Vegetable, California Blend (- 23.0%), Onion (-13.8%), and White Potato (- 12.3%).
Other Food subcategories that contribute to decline include Fish and Seafood (-3.2%), Oils and Fats (-6.3%), Milk, Cheese, and Eggs (-2.2%), and Sugar, Jams, Honey, Chocolate, and Confectionery (-3.6%).
The index for All Items Less Food and Energy remained unchanged, resulting from offsetting results in core inflation. Four of the major groups’ indexes increased in June, but were outweighed by other groups. The indexes for Health increased by 9.6% while Restaurants and Hotels rose 9.4%. Other increases were Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco and Narcotics (+4.4%), Clothing and Footwear (+2.3%). These increases were offset by decreases in the indexes for Recreation and Culture (+5.1%), Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance (+4.1%), Maintenance and repair of dwelling (+3.7%), and Actual Rentals for Housing 3.2%.
Month-to-Month Price Changes
The Monthly Consumer Price Index for June 2025 increased by 1.0% in June 2025 after declining 0.6% in May.
The index for food rose 0.9 percent in June after falling 0.4% in May. Seven of the nine major grocery store food group indexes increased in June. The index for Food Products N.E.C. rose 3.9% over the month as both the indexes for Tomato paste and Ketchup increased 3.0% and the index for BBQ sauce increased by 5.5%. The index for Fruits increased 3.5% in June with the indexes for Fresh and Chilled Fruit; and Frozen, Preserved or Processed Fruit and Fruit-based Products increasing 3.6% and 3.1% respectively.
The Vegetables index increased 2.8% with the Fresh or Chilled Vegetables rising 4.8% after declining 1.5% the previous month.
The index for All Items less Food and Energy rose 1.1 percent in June. The index for Transport Services rose 8.4% in June. The index for Actual Rentals for Housing increased 3.0% over the month and the index for Goods and Services for routine Household Maintenance rose 1.0%. The index for Miscellaneous Good and Services rose 0.3% over the same period.
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Methodology
What is the consumer price index (CPI) measuring and how is it done?
The All Items Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the main measure of what is commonly called inflation, or headline inflation. It measures the change in prices, on average, from month to month, and from year to year of the goods and services bought by most households.
Prices are collected monthly and quarterly from supermarkets and other suppliers of goods and services. The pattern of household expenditure on these goods and services is derived from a regular household budget (or expenditure) survey (HBS). The prices and spending patterns (known as weights) are then combined to calculate the price indices for groups of goods and services and for the All Items index. These indices are based on expenditure patterns in 2006.
The All Items (or overall) index, with all of its twelve (12) component indices, is published each month. For a detailed account of the methodology used in calculating the CPI, please call the Statistics Division.
Copies of the CPI for Jun 2025 can be accessed on the Division’s official website www.statistics.gov.ag
Jun 2025 Monthly CPI Publication: